Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 11/10, 11:30
Prediction: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Andrea Colombo
Team pages: Ivan Marrero Curbelo · Andrea Colombo
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Andrea Colombo
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
3-7 (W-L)
Andrea Colombo
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
1–1
Andrea Colombo
(2 last)
- 14 May1-2 16-13L
- 07 May2-1 15-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1463 · Andrea Colombo 1474
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Andrea Colombo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ivan Marrero Curbelo makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Andrea Colombo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-13.3 | 12.3-14 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1 – 1 Andrea Colombo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1–1 Andrea Colombo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/25 M15 Heraklion | 1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 07/05/25 M15 Heraklion | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lev Seidman Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Andrea Colombo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Jaden Weekes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Charles Chen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 10/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Filippo Pecorini M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Andrea Colombo?
Our model gives 58% to Ivan Marrero Curbelo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.