Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 11/10, 11:30
Prediction: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston
Team pages: Dimitar Kuzmanov · Ryan Peniston
Prediction summary
Winner
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Ryan Peniston
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Dimitar Kuzmanov
6-4 (W-L)
Ryan Peniston
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dimitar Kuzmanov 1522 · Ryan Peniston 1445
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | Ryan Peniston | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dimitar Kuzmanov (rating 1522 vs 1445).
- Dimitar Kuzmanov is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | Ryan Peniston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.9 | 9.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Miguel Damas Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Jose Freitas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Ryan Peniston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Filippo Romano Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Jelle Sels Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | Daniel Jade Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 20/02 | Max Basing M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 19/02 | Francisco Rocha M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/02 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/02 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston?
Our model gives 63% to Dimitar Kuzmanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.