Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 11/10, 10:00
Prediction: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic
Team pages: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez · Viktor Durasovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Viktor Durasovic
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
3-7 (W-L)
Viktor Durasovic
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 1469 · Viktor Durasovic 1476
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Viktor Durasovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Viktor Durasovic dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 42.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Viktor Durasovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-12.1 | 10.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Giulio Perego M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Calum Puttergill Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Viktor Durasovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic?
Our model gives 57% to Viktor Durasovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.