Tennis · Challenger Jinan · 13/10, 06:00
Prediction: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin
Team pages: Martin Landaluce · Ilia Simakin
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Landaluce
Ilia Simakin
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Landaluce
5-5 (W-L)
Ilia Simakin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Landaluce 1440 · Ilia Simakin 1625
| Martin Landaluce | Ilia Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 74% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilia Simakin (rating 1440 vs 1625).
- Ilia Simakin is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Martin Landaluce makes many double faults (5.7/match).
- Note: Ilia Simakin makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Martin Landaluce | Ilia Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-14.5 | 14.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Landaluce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 20/09 | Matias Soto Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 22-27 | L |
| 23/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jack Draper ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Ilia Simakin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Rigele Te ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Luka Pavlovic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Hunter Heck Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Blake Ellis Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Purcell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin?
Our model gives 63% to Ilia Simakin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.