Tennis · Challenger Jinan · 13/10, 06:00
Prediction: Alibek Kachmazov vs Jay Friend
Team pages: Alibek Kachmazov · Jay Friend
Prediction summary
Winner
Alibek Kachmazov
Jay Friend
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alibek Kachmazov
9-1 (W-L)
Jay Friend
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alibek Kachmazov 1628 · Jay Friend 1592
| Alibek Kachmazov | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alibek Kachmazov dominates on serve: 9.1 aces and 43.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Alibek Kachmazov | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-7.4 | 12.1-8.8 |
| Aces | 9.1 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 80.9% | 77.3% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 59.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alibek Kachmazov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/10 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/10 | Yan Lang Chen Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Sheng Tang M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Jay Friend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alibek Kachmazov vs Jay Friend?
Our model gives 51% to Jay Friend, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.