Tennis · Challenger Jinan · 11/10, 08:30
Prediction: Jesse Delaney vs Kaichi Uchida
Team pages: Jesse Delaney · Kaichi Uchida
Prediction summary
Winner
Jesse Delaney
Kaichi Uchida
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jesse Delaney
4-6 (W-L)
Kaichi Uchida
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jesse Delaney
0–1
Kaichi Uchida
(1 last)
- 29 May0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jesse Delaney 1461 · Kaichi Uchida 1399
| Jesse Delaney | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jesse Delaney (rating 1461 vs 1399).
- Head-to-head: Jesse Delaney 0–1 Kaichi Uchida (1).
Statistics
| Jesse Delaney | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-12.1 | 8.6-12.9 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 28.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Jesse Delaney 0 – 1 Kaichi Uchida (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jesse Delaney 0–1 Kaichi Uchida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/24 M15 Karuizawa | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jesse Delaney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Zak Talic M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Thijmen Loof Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/09 | Mikalai Haliak Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Alexander Weis Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Kaichi Uchida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jesse Delaney vs Kaichi Uchida?
Our model gives 62% to Kaichi Uchida, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.