Tennis · WTA Beijing · 11/10, 13:30
Prediction: Qinwen Zheng vs Mirra Andreeva
Team pages: Qinwen Zheng · Mirra Andreeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Qinwen Zheng
Mirra Andreeva
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Qinwen Zheng
8-2 (W-L)
Mirra Andreeva
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Qinwen Zheng
1–0
Mirra Andreeva
(1 last)
- 04 Oct2-1 17-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Qinwen Zheng 1600 · Mirra Andreeva 1641
| Qinwen Zheng | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mirra Andreeva (rating 1600 vs 1641).
- Qinwen Zheng dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Qinwen Zheng 1–0 Mirra Andreeva (1).
Statistics
| Qinwen Zheng | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12.2 | 12.8-8.5 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Qinwen Zheng 1 – 0 Mirra Andreeva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Qinwen Zheng 1–0 Mirra Andreeva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/24 WTA Beijing | 2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qinwen Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/10 | Han Shi WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Jasmine Paolini Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Madison Keys US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Yulia Putintseva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Mirra Andreeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Daria Snigur WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Yue Yuan WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Anastasia Potapova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qinwen Zheng vs Mirra Andreeva?
Our model gives 59% to Mirra Andreeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.