Tennis · WTA Beijing · 06/10, 05:00
Prediction: Linda Noskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Team pages: Linda Noskova · Ekaterina Alexandrova
Prediction summary
Winner
Linda Noskova
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Linda Noskova
9-1 (W-L)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Linda Noskova
1–1
Ekaterina Alexandrova
(2 last)
- 16 Apr2-0 12-2W
- 22 Aug1-2 14-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linda Noskova 1621 · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1534
| Linda Noskova | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linda Noskova (rating 1621 vs 1534).
- Linda Noskova dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 51% break avg.
- Linda Noskova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Linda Noskova makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Linda Noskova | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-8.9 | 12.7-12.4 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 5 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 51% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Linda Noskova 1 – 1 Ekaterina Alexandrova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Linda Noskova 1–1 Ekaterina Alexandrova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 WTA Stuttgart | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/08/25 WTA Monterrey | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linda Noskova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Elina Svitolina Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Cristina Bucsa Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Katie Boulter Billie Jean King Cup · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 04/09 | Ann Li US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Lanlana Tararudee US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Katie Volynets US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Kimberly Birrell US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/08 | McCartney Kessler US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 16/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linda Noskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Our model gives 68% to Linda Noskova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.