Tennis · WTA Beijing · 05/10, 05:00
Prediction: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal
Team pages: Alina Charaeva · Sonay Kartal
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Charaeva
Sonay Kartal
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Charaeva
3-7 (W-L)
Sonay Kartal
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Charaeva 1535 · Sonay Kartal 1564
| Alina Charaeva | Sonay Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Alina Charaeva | Sonay Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-12.9 | 12.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Charaeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Elena Rybakina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Sofia Kenin WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Xiaodi You WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Susan Bandecchi US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Rebecca Marino WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Sonay Kartal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Xinyu Wang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Marie Bouzkova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/03 | Madison Keys WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/03 | Emma Navarro WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/03 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/02 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Dubai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/02 | Storm Hunter WTA Dubai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/02 | Magda Linette WTA Doha · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/02 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Doha · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal?
Our model gives 58% to Sonay Kartal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.