Tennis · WTA Beijing · 05/10, 05:00
Prediction: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun
Team pages: Coco Gauff · Xinran Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Coco Gauff
Xinran Sun
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Coco Gauff
9-1 (W-L)
Xinran Sun
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coco Gauff 1661 · Xinran Sun 1527
| Coco Gauff | Xinran Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coco Gauff (rating 1661 vs 1527).
- Coco Gauff is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Coco Gauff makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Coco Gauff | Xinran Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-8.7 | 9.8-7.8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 59.3% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coco Gauff
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Mirra Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Cristina Bucsa US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Paula Badosa US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Zeynep Sonmez US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Xinran Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Luna Vujovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Nadja Mladenovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Varvara Panshina W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Anja Stankovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Mia Horvit W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Mariya Yemshanova W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun?
Our model gives 81% to Coco Gauff, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.