Tennis · WTA Beijing · 05/10, 05:00
Prediction: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng
Team pages: Marie Bouzkova · Qinwen Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Bouzkova
Qinwen Zheng
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Bouzkova
7-3 (W-L)
Qinwen Zheng
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Bouzkova 1547 · Qinwen Zheng 1585
| Marie Bouzkova | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Marie Bouzkova | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.5 | 13.5-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 49% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Bouzkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Sonay Kartal Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Elsa Jacquemot US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Qinwen Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Han Shi WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Jasmine Paolini Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Madison Keys US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Yulia Putintseva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Kristina Liutova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/08 | Elena Pridankina US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Clara Burel US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Xiaodi You US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng?
Our model gives 55% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.