Tennis · WTA Beijing · 04/10, 05:00
Prediction: Polina Kudermetova vs Mirra Andreeva
Team pages: Polina Kudermetova · Mirra Andreeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Kudermetova
Mirra Andreeva
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kudermetova
3-7 (W-L)
Mirra Andreeva
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Polina Kudermetova
0–1
Mirra Andreeva
(1 last)
- 22 May0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Kudermetova 1520 · Mirra Andreeva 1566
| Polina Kudermetova | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mirra Andreeva (rating 1520 vs 1566).
- Head-to-head: Polina Kudermetova 0–1 Mirra Andreeva (1).
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (8.3/match).
- Note: Mirra Andreeva makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Polina Kudermetova | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-13.3 | 12.3-8.9 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 8.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Polina Kudermetova 0 – 1 Mirra Andreeva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polina Kudermetova 0–1 Mirra Andreeva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/23 French Open Women | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Kudermetova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Clara Tauson WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Linda Fruhvirtova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Avery Alexander WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Mirra Andreeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Yue Yuan WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Anastasia Potapova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Eva Lys US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Janice Tjen US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Kudermetova vs Mirra Andreeva?
Our model gives 74% to Mirra Andreeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.