Tennis · WTA Beijing · 04/10, 05:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider
Team pages: Ekaterina Alexandrova · Diana Shnaider
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Diana Shnaider
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6-4 (W-L)
Diana Shnaider
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2–1
Diana Shnaider
(3 last)
- 18 Oct2-0 12-7W
- 24 Aug1-2 13-16L
- 03 Apr2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1550 · Diana Shnaider 1551
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Alexandrova 2–1 Diana Shnaider (3).
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-12.2 | 11-8.4 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Ekaterina Alexandrova 2 – 1 Diana Shnaider (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterina Alexandrova 2–1 Diana Shnaider
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 WTA Ningbo | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08/25 WTA Monterrey | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/04/25 WTA Charleston | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Kimberly Birrell US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/08 | McCartney Kessler US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 16/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 06/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Diana Shnaider
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Janice Tjen WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Taylor Townsend US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Karolina Pliskova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Daria Snigur US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider?
Our model gives 60% to Diana Shnaider, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.