Tennis · WTA Beijing · 04/10, 05:00
Prediction: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska
Team pages: Sinja Kraus · Dayana Yastremska
Prediction summary
Winner
Sinja Kraus
Dayana Yastremska
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sinja Kraus
4-6 (W-L)
Dayana Yastremska
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sinja Kraus 1497 · Dayana Yastremska 1489
| Sinja Kraus | Dayana Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sinja Kraus makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Dayana Yastremska makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Sinja Kraus | Dayana Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.6 | 11.3-12.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 34.1% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sinja Kraus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Maya Joint WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Elena Malygina WTA Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Matilde Jorge WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Karolina Muchova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/08 | En Shuo Liang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Claire Liu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Dayana Yastremska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Caty McNally WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Aoi Ito Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska?
Our model gives 59% to Dayana Yastremska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.