Tennis · WTA Beijing · 03/10, 04:00
Prediction: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek
Team pages: Xinyu Gao · Iga Swiatek
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinyu Gao
Iga Swiatek
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Xinyu Gao
6-4 (W-L)
Iga Swiatek
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinyu Gao 1519 · Iga Swiatek 1625
| Xinyu Gao | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 5% | 95% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iga Swiatek (rating 1519 vs 1625).
Statistics
| Xinyu Gao | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-7.7 | 12.6-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinyu Gao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Panna Udvardy WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Francisca Jorge WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Sofia Johnson W50 Evora |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Elena Micic W50 Evora |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Zongyu Li W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Prague |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Mayuka Aikawa W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Nadia Podoroska US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Xiyu Wang US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Diane Parry WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek?
Our model gives 81% to Iga Swiatek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.