Tennis · WTA Beijing · 03/10, 05:00
Prediction: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa
Team pages: Xinran Sun · Cristina Bucsa
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinran Sun
Cristina Bucsa
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Xinran Sun
5-5 (W-L)
Cristina Bucsa
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinran Sun 1499 · Cristina Bucsa 1489
| Xinran Sun | Cristina Bucsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Xinran Sun | Cristina Bucsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-8.1 | 11.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinran Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Luna Vujovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Nadja Mladenovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Varvara Panshina W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Anja Stankovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Mia Horvit W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Mariya Yemshanova W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/05 | Ella Seidel W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Cristina Bucsa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Linda Noskova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Yulia Putintseva Billie Jean King Cup · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 19/09 | Iva Jovic WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Sara Bejlek WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Panna Udvardy WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 31/08 | Sara Bejlek US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa?
Our model gives 58% to Cristina Bucsa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.