Tennis · WTA Beijing · 03/10, 05:00
Prediction: Coco Gauff vs Maria Camila Osorio
Team pages: Coco Gauff · Maria Camila Osorio
Prediction summary
Winner
Coco Gauff
Maria Camila Osorio
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Coco Gauff
9-1 (W-L)
Maria Camila Osorio
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coco Gauff 1661 · Maria Camila Osorio 1472
| Coco Gauff | Maria Camila Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coco Gauff (rating 1661 vs 1472).
- Coco Gauff is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Coco Gauff makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Maria Camila Osorio makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Coco Gauff | Maria Camila Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7.8 | 9.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 64% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coco Gauff
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Mirra Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Cristina Bucsa US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Paula Badosa US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Zeynep Sonmez US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maria Camila Osorio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ann Li WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Storm Hunter WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Simona Waltert Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coco Gauff vs Maria Camila Osorio?
Our model gives 81% to Coco Gauff, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.