Tennis · WTA Beijing · 03/10, 05:00
Prediction: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Annie Fernandez
Team pages: Kamilla Rakhimova · Leylah Annie Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Kamilla Rakhimova
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Kamilla Rakhimova
7-3 (W-L)
Leylah Annie Fernandez
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kamilla Rakhimova
0–1
Leylah Annie Fernandez
(1 last)
- 09 Oct1-2 15-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kamilla Rakhimova 1543 · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1589
| Kamilla Rakhimova | Leylah Annie Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leylah Annie Fernandez (rating 1543 vs 1589).
- Head-to-head: Kamilla Rakhimova 0–1 Leylah Annie Fernandez (1).
- Note: Kamilla Rakhimova makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Leylah Annie Fernandez makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Kamilla Rakhimova | Leylah Annie Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.1 | 11.8-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 6 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Kamilla Rakhimova 0 – 1 Leylah Annie Fernandez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamilla Rakhimova 0–1 Leylah Annie Fernandez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/24 WTA Wuhan | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamilla Rakhimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Katie Volynets WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Oksana Selekhmeteva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Barbora Krejcikova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 22/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Leylah Annie Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Shuai Zhang US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Annie Fernandez?
Our model gives 66% to Leylah Annie Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.