Tennis · WTA Beijing · 03/10, 05:00
Prediction: Maria Sakkari vs Storm Hunter
Team pages: Maria Sakkari · Storm Hunter
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Sakkari
Storm Hunter
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Sakkari
6-4 (W-L)
Storm Hunter
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Sakkari
1–0
Storm Hunter
(1 last)
- 20 Sept2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Sakkari 1504 · Storm Hunter 1552
| Maria Sakkari | Storm Hunter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Storm Hunter (rating 1504 vs 1552).
- Head-to-head: Maria Sakkari 1–0 Storm Hunter (1).
Statistics
| Maria Sakkari | Storm Hunter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11 | 12.3-8.9 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Maria Sakkari 1 – 0 Storm Hunter (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Sakkari 1–0 Storm Hunter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/23 WTA Guadalajara | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Sakkari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Yulia Starodubtsewa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Robin Montgomery US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Storm Hunter
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Yu Jun Lin WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Ksenia Zaytseva WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/09 | Ruien Zhang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Joanna Garland WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 30/08 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Darja Semenistaja US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Yeon Woo Ku US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Maddison Inglis US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Sofia Johnson WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Sakkari vs Storm Hunter?
Our model gives 54% to Maria Sakkari, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.