Tennis · WTA Beijing · 03/10, 05:00
Prediction: Belinda Bencic vs Anastasia Zakharova
Team pages: Belinda Bencic · Anastasia Zakharova
Prediction summary
Winner
Belinda Bencic
Anastasia Zakharova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Belinda Bencic
9-1 (W-L)
Anastasia Zakharova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belinda Bencic 1548 · Anastasia Zakharova 1473
| Belinda Bencic | Anastasia Zakharova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belinda Bencic (rating 1548 vs 1473).
- Note: Belinda Bencic makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Belinda Bencic | Anastasia Zakharova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-10.4 | 10.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 63% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belinda Bencic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Yulia Putintseva US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/05 | Peyton Stearns French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Anastasia Zakharova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Yushan Shao WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Kylie Collins WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Katrina Scott W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Ayana Akli W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Fiona Crawley W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belinda Bencic vs Anastasia Zakharova?
Our model gives 70% to Belinda Bencic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.