Tennis · WTA Beijing · 03/10, 05:00
Prediction: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina
Team pages: Katerina Siniakova · Elina Svitolina
Prediction summary
Winner
Katerina Siniakova
Elina Svitolina
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Katerina Siniakova
4-6 (W-L)
Elina Svitolina
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katerina Siniakova
0–4
Elina Svitolina
(4 last)
- 10 Mar1-2 10-14L
- 07 Aug1-2 12-15L
- 17 Jan1-2 9-16L
- 29 Aug1-2 10-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katerina Siniakova 1514 · Elina Svitolina 1560
| Katerina Siniakova | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elina Svitolina (rating 1514 vs 1560).
- Head-to-head: Katerina Siniakova 0–4 Elina Svitolina (4).
- Note: Katerina Siniakova makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Katerina Siniakova | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.1 | 13.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 59.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Katerina Siniakova 0 – 4 Elina Svitolina (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katerina Siniakova 0–4 Elina Svitolina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/24 WTA Indian Wells | 1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 07/08/19 WTA Toronto | 1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/01/18 Australian Open Women | 1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 29/08/17 US Open Women | 1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katerina Siniakova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Magda Linette WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Qinwen Zheng Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Elina Svitolina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Linda Noskova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Jasmine Paolini Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Greet Minnen Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Anna Kalinskaya US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Maya Joint US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Solana Sierra US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina?
Our model gives 66% to Elina Svitolina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.