Tennis · WTA Beijing · 03/10, 05:00
Prediction: Marie Bouzkova vs Kimberly Birrell
Team pages: Marie Bouzkova · Kimberly Birrell
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Bouzkova
Kimberly Birrell
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Bouzkova
7-3 (W-L)
Kimberly Birrell
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marie Bouzkova
0–1
Kimberly Birrell
(1 last)
- 18 Oct1-2 14-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Bouzkova 1538 · Kimberly Birrell 1567
| Marie Bouzkova | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marie Bouzkova 0–1 Kimberly Birrell (1).
- Note: Kimberly Birrell makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Marie Bouzkova | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.6 | 11.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Marie Bouzkova 0 – 1 Kimberly Birrell (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marie Bouzkova 0–1 Kimberly Birrell
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 WTA Tokyo | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Bouzkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Sonay Kartal Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Elsa Jacquemot US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Kimberly Birrell
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Maya Joint WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Katie Volynets WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Ekaterina Alexandrova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 31/08 | Petra Marcinko US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Bouzkova vs Kimberly Birrell?
Our model gives 57% to Marie Bouzkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.