Tennis · WTA Beijing · 03/10, 04:00
Prediction: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang
Team pages: Sonay Kartal · Xinyu Wang
Prediction summary
Winner
Sonay Kartal
Xinyu Wang
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sonay Kartal
6-4 (W-L)
Xinyu Wang
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonay Kartal 1558 · Xinyu Wang 1517
| Sonay Kartal | Xinyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sonay Kartal (rating 1558 vs 1517).
- Note: Xinyu Wang makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Sonay Kartal | Xinyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.9 | 11.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 34.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonay Kartal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Marie Bouzkova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/03 | Madison Keys WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/03 | Emma Navarro WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/03 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/02 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Dubai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/02 | Storm Hunter WTA Dubai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/02 | Magda Linette WTA Doha · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/02 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Doha · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/02 | Simona Waltert WTA Doha · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Xinyu Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Joanna Garland WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Donna Vekic WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Anna Kalinskaya US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 30/08 | Emiliana Arango US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Donna Vekic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang?
Our model gives 54% to Sonay Kartal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.