Tennis · WTA Beijing · 02/10, 05:00
Prediction: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech
Team pages: Nikola Bartunkova · Magdalena Frech
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Bartunkova
Magdalena Frech
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Bartunkova
5-5 (W-L)
Magdalena Frech
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nikola Bartunkova
1–0
Magdalena Frech
(1 last)
- 13 Sept2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Bartunkova 1556 · Magdalena Frech 1534
| Nikola Bartunkova | Magdalena Frech | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nikola Bartunkova 1–0 Magdalena Frech (1).
- Note: Nikola Bartunkova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Bartunkova | Magdalena Frech | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.9 | 11-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 50% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Nikola Bartunkova 1 – 0 Magdalena Frech (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nikola Bartunkova 1–0 Magdalena Frech
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 WTA Guadalajara | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Bartunkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Mirra Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Tatjana Maria US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Mayar Sherif US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/08 | En Shuo Liang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alina Charaeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Magdalena Frech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/09 | Iva Jovic WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech?
Our model gives 56% to Nikola Bartunkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.