Tennis · WTA Beijing · 02/10, 05:00
Prediction: Yue Yuan vs Mirra Andreeva
Team pages: Yue Yuan · Mirra Andreeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Yue Yuan
Mirra Andreeva
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yue Yuan
8-2 (W-L)
Mirra Andreeva
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yue Yuan 1505 · Mirra Andreeva 1566
| Yue Yuan | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mirra Andreeva (rating 1505 vs 1566).
- Note: Mirra Andreeva makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Yue Yuan | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.8 | 12-8.4 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yue Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Dayeon Back WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Mary Stoiana US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Julia Avdeeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Hanyu Guo US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Alana Smith WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Mirra Andreeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Anastasia Potapova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Eva Lys US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Janice Tjen US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yue Yuan vs Mirra Andreeva?
Our model gives 76% to Mirra Andreeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.