Tennis · WTA Beijing · 02/10, 05:00
Prediction: Sara Bejlek vs Maddison Inglis
Team pages: Sara Bejlek · Maddison Inglis
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Bejlek
Maddison Inglis
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Bejlek
4-6 (W-L)
Maddison Inglis
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Bejlek 1522 · Maddison Inglis 1568
| Sara Bejlek | Maddison Inglis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maddison Inglis (rating 1522 vs 1568).
Statistics
| Sara Bejlek | Maddison Inglis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.7 | 11.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 59.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Bejlek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Cristina Bucsa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 16/08 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Maddison Inglis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Darya Astakhova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Xinxin Yao WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Storm Hunter US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Bejlek vs Maddison Inglis?
Our model gives 58% to Sara Bejlek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.