Tennis · WTA Beijing · 02/10, 05:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Team pages: Ekaterina Alexandrova · Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6-4 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterina Alexandrova
5–1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
(6 last)
- 30 Jan2-0 12-5W
- 09 May0-2 1-12L
- 23 Aug2-0 13-9W
- 17 Jun2-0 13-7W
- 22 Dec2-0 12-4W
- 28 Jan2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1526 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1532
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Alexandrova 5–1 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (6).
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.6 | 10.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Ekaterina Alexandrova 5 – 1 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (6)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterina Alexandrova 5–1 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/25 WTA Linz | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/05/24 WTA Rome | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 23/08/23 WTA Cleveland | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06/23 WTA Hertogenbosch | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/12/19 WTA Limoges | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/01/17 WTA St. Petersburg Qual | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Kimberly Birrell US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/08 | McCartney Kessler US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 16/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 06/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Junhan Zhang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Vendula Valdmannova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Dalma Galfi US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 53% to Ekaterina Alexandrova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.