Tennis · WTA Beijing · 02/10, 05:00
Prediction: Dayana Yastremska vs Maja Chwalinska
Team pages: Dayana Yastremska · Maja Chwalinska
Prediction summary
Winner
Dayana Yastremska
Maja Chwalinska
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dayana Yastremska
6-4 (W-L)
Maja Chwalinska
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dayana Yastremska 1478 · Maja Chwalinska 1497
| Dayana Yastremska | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dayana Yastremska makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Dayana Yastremska | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.7 | 10.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dayana Yastremska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Caty McNally WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Aoi Ito Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Sara Bejlek WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Elise Mertens WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Taylor Townsend US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dayana Yastremska vs Maja Chwalinska?
Our model gives 61% to Maja Chwalinska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.