Tennis · WTA Beijing · 02/10, 05:00
Prediction: Clara Tauson vs Polina Kudermetova
Team pages: Clara Tauson · Polina Kudermetova
Prediction summary
Winner
Clara Tauson
Polina Kudermetova
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Clara Tauson
4-6 (W-L)
Polina Kudermetova
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Clara Tauson
1–0
Polina Kudermetova
(1 last)
- 21 Jan2-1 16-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clara Tauson 1483 · Polina Kudermetova 1507
| Clara Tauson | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Clara Tauson 1–0 Polina Kudermetova (1).
- Note: Clara Tauson makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (8.9/match).
Statistics
| Clara Tauson | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-13 | 13.2-12.9 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 6 | 8.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
H2H · Clara Tauson 1 – 0 Polina Kudermetova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Clara Tauson 1–0 Polina Kudermetova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/26 Australian Open Women | 2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clara Tauson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Sloane Stephens US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Polina Kudermetova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Linda Fruhvirtova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Avery Alexander WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/07 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clara Tauson vs Polina Kudermetova?
Our model gives 60% to Clara Tauson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.