Tennis · WTA Beijing · 02/10, 05:00
Prediction: Jasmine Paolini vs Daria Snigur
Team pages: Jasmine Paolini · Daria Snigur
Prediction summary
Winner
Jasmine Paolini
Daria Snigur
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jasmine Paolini
6-4 (W-L)
Daria Snigur
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jasmine Paolini 1540 · Daria Snigur 1536
| Jasmine Paolini | Daria Snigur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jasmine Paolini | Daria Snigur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.4 | 11-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jasmine Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Elina Svitolina Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Qinwen Zheng Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Sorana Cirstea US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Veronika Erjavec US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Viktorija Golubic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Robin Montgomery Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
Daria Snigur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 31/08 | Diana Shnaider US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Ella Seidel WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jasmine Paolini vs Daria Snigur?
Our model gives 57% to Jasmine Paolini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.