Tennis · WTA Beijing · 02/10, 05:00
Prediction: Linda Noskova vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Team pages: Linda Noskova · Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Prediction summary
Winner
Linda Noskova
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Linda Noskova
8-2 (W-L)
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Linda Noskova
0–1
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
(1 last)
- 23 Jun0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linda Noskova 1600 · Elena-Gabriela Ruse 1529
| Linda Noskova | Elena-Gabriela Ruse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linda Noskova (rating 1600 vs 1529).
- Linda Noskova dominates on serve: 9.7 aces and 41.9% break avg.
- Linda Noskova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Linda Noskova 0–1 Elena-Gabriela Ruse (1).
- Note: Linda Noskova makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Elena-Gabriela Ruse makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Linda Noskova | Elena-Gabriela Ruse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-10.1 | 9.9-9.2 |
| Aces | 9.7 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Linda Noskova 0 – 1 Elena-Gabriela Ruse (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Linda Noskova 0–1 Elena-Gabriela Ruse
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/26 WTA Bad Homburg | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linda Noskova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Elina Svitolina Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Cristina Bucsa Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Katie Boulter Billie Jean King Cup · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 04/09 | Ann Li US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Lanlana Tararudee US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Katie Volynets US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Lilli Tagger WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Eva Lys WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Magda Linette WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Caty McNally Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linda Noskova vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse?
Our model gives 70% to Linda Noskova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.