Tennis · WTA Beijing · 30/09, 13:00
Prediction: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech
Team pages: Elsa Jacquemot · Magdalena Frech
Prediction summary
Winner
Elsa Jacquemot
Magdalena Frech
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Elsa Jacquemot
5-5 (W-L)
Magdalena Frech
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elsa Jacquemot
1–3
Magdalena Frech
(4 last)
- 13 Jan0-2 4-12L
- 03 May0-2 5-12L
- 11 Dec2-0 13-7W
- 10 Sept0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elsa Jacquemot 1522 · Magdalena Frech 1521
| Elsa Jacquemot | Magdalena Frech | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elsa Jacquemot 1–3 Magdalena Frech (4).
- Note: Elsa Jacquemot makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Elsa Jacquemot | Magdalena Frech | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9 | 10.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Elsa Jacquemot 1 – 3 Magdalena Frech (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elsa Jacquemot 1–3 Magdalena Frech
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/26 WTA Hobart | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/05/23 WTA Saint-Malo | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/12/22 ITF W100 Dubai | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09/20 ITF W60 Saint Malo | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elsa Jacquemot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Vivian Wolff WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Zongyu Li WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Kayla Day WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Emanuela Lares WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/09 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Anna Bondar WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Magdalena Frech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Iva Jovic WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech?
Our model gives 57% to Magdalena Frech, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.