Tennis · WTA Beijing · 30/09, 08:00
Prediction: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Linda Fruhvirtova
Team pages: Zhuoxuan Bai · Linda Fruhvirtova
Prediction summary
Winner
Zhuoxuan Bai
Linda Fruhvirtova
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Zhuoxuan Bai
4-6 (W-L)
Linda Fruhvirtova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhuoxuan Bai 1541 · Linda Fruhvirtova 1489
| Zhuoxuan Bai | Linda Fruhvirtova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhuoxuan Bai (rating 1541 vs 1489).
- Note: Linda Fruhvirtova makes many double faults (8.3/match).
Statistics
| Zhuoxuan Bai | Linda Fruhvirtova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.5 | 10.6-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 8.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhuoxuan Bai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | JiaYi Wang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/09 | Mina Hodzic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Sijia Wei W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Yufei Ren W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Joanna Garland W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Sofia Costoulas W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 01/09 | JiaYi Wang W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Linda Fruhvirtova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Shiyu Ye WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 22/09 | Maria Sakkari WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Aoi Ito W50 Evora |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Hannah Klugman W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/09 | Sofia Johnson W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Raphaelle Lacasse W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Carson Branstine US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhuoxuan Bai vs Linda Fruhvirtova?
Our model gives 56% to Zhuoxuan Bai, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.