Tennis · ATP Beijing · 30/09, 05:00
Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolo
Team pages: Botic Van De Zandschulp · Francisco Cerundolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Francisco Cerundolo
Estimated games
27.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
3-7 (W-L)
Francisco Cerundolo
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Botic Van De Zandschulp
0–4
Francisco Cerundolo
(4 last)
- 25 May1-3 18-24L
- 16 Apr0-2 3-12L
- 12 Sept0-2 7-13L
- 10 Mar0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1570 · Francisco Cerundolo 1505
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botic Van De Zandschulp (rating 1570 vs 1505).
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 10.4 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Botic Van De Zandschulp 0–4 Francisco Cerundolo (4).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (6.4/match).
- Note: Francisco Cerundolo makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.3 | 1.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.6-15.4 | 16-15.1 |
| Aces | 10.4 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +5
Over 22.5: 81% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 19% · 1.80
H2H · Botic Van De Zandschulp 0 – 4 Francisco Cerundolo (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Botic Van De Zandschulp 0–4 Francisco Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 French Open | 1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 16/04/26 ATP Munich | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/09/25 Davis Cup | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/03/25 ATP Indian Wells | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Jie Cui ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Valentin Royer ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-29 | W |
| 05/09 | Zizou Bergs US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
| 04/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jan Choinski US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Francisco Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Casper Ruud Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 19-22 | L |
| 20/09 | Mert Alkaya Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/09 | Yanki Erel Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 05/09 | Taylor Fritz US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |
| 03/09 | Jan-Lennard Struff US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 01/09 | Filip Misolic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolo?
Our model gives 50% to Botic Van De Zandschulp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.