Tennis · ATP Beijing · 29/09, 06:00
Prediction: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan
Team pages: Marco Trungelliti · Alex Molcan
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Trungelliti
Alex Molcan
Estimated games
25.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Trungelliti
4-6 (W-L)
Alex Molcan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Trungelliti 1522 · Alex Molcan 1496
| Marco Trungelliti | Alex Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marco Trungelliti | Alex Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.3 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.7-15 | 12.2-12.5 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Trungelliti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Martin Landaluce ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 12-21 | L |
| 31/08 | Juncheng Shang US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 20-25 | W |
| 16/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Alex Molcan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Vit Kopriva ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 20/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 23/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan?
Our model gives 53% to Alex Molcan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.