Tennis · ATP Beijing · 29/09, 06:30
Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Jie Cui
Team pages: Botic Van De Zandschulp · Jie Cui
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Jie Cui
Estimated games
25.4Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
3-7 (W-L)
Jie Cui
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1567 · Jie Cui 1485
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 85% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botic Van De Zandschulp (rating 1567 vs 1485).
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 10.7 aces and 44.3% break avg.
- Botic Van De Zandschulp is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.6-14.7 | 12.1-12.2 |
| Aces | 10.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +4.9
Over 20.5: 81% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 19% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Valentin Royer ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-29 | W |
| 05/09 | Zizou Bergs US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
| 04/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jan Choinski US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Jie Cui
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Jie Cui?
Our model gives 75% to Botic Van De Zandschulp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.