Tennis · WTA Beijing · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Yue Yuan
Team pages: Oleksandra Oliynykova · Yue Yuan
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Yue Yuan
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandra Oliynykova
5-5 (W-L)
Yue Yuan
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1493 · Yue Yuan 1484
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | Yue Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | Yue Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.2 | 11.6-12 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 53.3% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandra Oliynykova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Vivian Wolff WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexandra Eala US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Reese Brantmeier US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Mayar Sherif WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Yue Yuan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Dayeon Back WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Mary Stoiana US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Julia Avdeeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Hanyu Guo US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Alana Smith WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Aliona Falei WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Yue Yuan?
Our model gives 57% to Yue Yuan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.