Tennis · WTA Beijing · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Camila Osorio
Team pages: Lanlana Tararudee · Maria Camila Osorio
Prediction summary
Winner
Lanlana Tararudee
Maria Camila Osorio
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lanlana Tararudee
6-4 (W-L)
Maria Camila Osorio
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lanlana Tararudee 1533 · Maria Camila Osorio 1445
| Lanlana Tararudee | Maria Camila Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lanlana Tararudee (rating 1533 vs 1445).
- Lanlana Tararudee is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Lanlana Tararudee makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Maria Camila Osorio makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Lanlana Tararudee | Maria Camila Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.8 | 9.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 63% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lanlana Tararudee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Maya Joint WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Sohyun Park WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Linda Noskova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Elvina Kalieva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Maria Camila Osorio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ann Li WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Storm Hunter WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Simona Waltert Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Camila Osorio?
Our model gives 57% to Lanlana Tararudee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.