Tennis · WTA Beijing · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova
Team pages: Magda Linette · Katerina Siniakova
Prediction summary
Winner
Magda Linette
Katerina Siniakova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Magda Linette
2-8 (W-L)
Katerina Siniakova
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Magda Linette
2–2
Katerina Siniakova
(4 last)
- 15 Oct0-2 6-12L
- 07 Aug0-2 5-12L
- 23 Aug2-0 13-8W
- 26 Sept2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magda Linette 1416 · Katerina Siniakova 1501
| Magda Linette | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katerina Siniakova (rating 1416 vs 1501).
- Katerina Siniakova is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Katerina Siniakova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Magda Linette | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-12.2 | 10-10 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Magda Linette 2 – 2 Katerina Siniakova (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magda Linette 2–2 Katerina Siniakova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/24 WTA Ningbo | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08/22 ITF W100 Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/08/19 WTA New York | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09/17 WTA Wuhan | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magda Linette
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Darya Astakhova WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Carol Zhao WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mirra Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Katerina Siniakova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Qinwen Zheng Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Lin Zhu WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova?
Our model gives 62% to Katerina Siniakova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.