Tennis · WTA Beijing · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Sofia Kenin vs Ashlyn Krueger
Team pages: Sofia Kenin · Ashlyn Krueger
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Kenin
Ashlyn Krueger
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Kenin
4-6 (W-L)
Ashlyn Krueger
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sofia Kenin
2–2
Ashlyn Krueger
(4 last)
- 22 Apr2-0 13-10W
- 26 Aug1-2 13-17L
- 10 Feb2-0 12-8W
- 02 May1-2 15-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Kenin 1463 · Ashlyn Krueger 1489
| Sofia Kenin | Ashlyn Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Ashlyn Krueger is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Sofia Kenin makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Ashlyn Krueger makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Sofia Kenin | Ashlyn Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-13.1 | 10.5-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Sofia Kenin 2 – 2 Ashlyn Krueger (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sofia Kenin 2–2 Ashlyn Krueger
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 WTA Madrid | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08/25 US Open Women | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/02/25 WTA Doha | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/05/24 WTA Lleida | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Kenin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alina Charaeva WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Venus Williams US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/08 | Eva Lys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Emma Navarro WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Petra Marcinko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Ashlyn Krueger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Amanda Anisimova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Anna Frey WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Katie Boulter WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Mariam Bolkvadze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/06 | Donna Vekic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Iatcenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Kenin vs Ashlyn Krueger?
Our model gives 56% to Ashlyn Krueger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.