Tennis · WTA Beijing · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Aoi Ito vs Kimberly Birrell
Team pages: Aoi Ito · Kimberly Birrell
Prediction summary
Winner
Aoi Ito
Kimberly Birrell
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aoi Ito
5-5 (W-L)
Kimberly Birrell
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aoi Ito
0–2
Kimberly Birrell
(2 last)
- 20 Oct0-2 7-12L
- 10 May0-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aoi Ito 1476 · Kimberly Birrell 1549
| Aoi Ito | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kimberly Birrell (rating 1476 vs 1549).
- Head-to-head: Aoi Ito 0–2 Kimberly Birrell (2).
- Note: Aoi Ito makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Kimberly Birrell makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Aoi Ito | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.8 | 11.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 7.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Aoi Ito 0 – 2 Kimberly Birrell (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aoi Ito 0–2 Kimberly Birrell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/24 WTA Osaka | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/05/24 ITF W75 Fukuoka | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aoi Ito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 19/09 | Sofya Lansere WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Evora |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Reese Brantmeier W50 Evora |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Evora |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Solana Sierra WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Kimberly Birrell
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Maya Joint WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Katie Volynets WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Ekaterina Alexandrova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 31/08 | Petra Marcinko US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aoi Ito vs Kimberly Birrell?
Our model gives 70% to Kimberly Birrell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.