Tennis · WTA Beijing · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Yulia Starodubtsewa vs Alina Charaeva
Team pages: Yulia Starodubtsewa · Alina Charaeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Alina Charaeva
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yulia Starodubtsewa
5-5 (W-L)
Alina Charaeva
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yulia Starodubtsewa 1501 · Alina Charaeva 1502
| Yulia Starodubtsewa | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Yulia Starodubtsewa | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12 | 12.9-13.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Maria Sakkari US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 01/09 | Ella Seidel US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Lilli Tagger WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Daria Snigur WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Sloane Stephens WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Anna Blinkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Alina Charaeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Sofia Kenin WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Xiaodi You WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Susan Bandecchi US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Rebecca Marino WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yulia Starodubtsewa vs Alina Charaeva?
Our model gives 56% to Yulia Starodubtsewa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.