Tennis · ATP Beijing · 30/09, 05:00
Prediction: Ignacio Buse vs Quentin Halys
Team pages: Ignacio Buse · Quentin Halys
Prediction summary
Winner
Ignacio Buse
Quentin Halys
Estimated games
26.6Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ignacio Buse
7-3 (W-L)
Quentin Halys
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ignacio Buse 1542 · Quentin Halys 1511
| Ignacio Buse | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Quentin Halys dominates on serve: 14 aces and 49.9% break avg.
- Note: Quentin Halys makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Ignacio Buse | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.3 | 1.7-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-13.8 | 16.6-15.3 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 14 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 82.3% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.6 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +3.1
Over 23.5: 71% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 29% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ignacio Buse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Davis Cup |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Marcos Giron US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-20 | W |
| 29/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Adam Walton ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Quentin Halys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Roman Safiullin ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 26-29 | L |
| 01/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-17 | W |
| 25/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ignacio Buse vs Quentin Halys?
Our model gives 54% to Quentin Halys, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.