Tennis · ATP Beijing · 30/09, 05:00
Prediction: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Bu Yunchaokete
Team pages: Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Bu Yunchaokete
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Bu Yunchaokete
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
4-6 (W-L)
Bu Yunchaokete
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
0–1
Bu Yunchaokete
(1 last)
- 02 Oct1-2 13-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1490 · Bu Yunchaokete 1524
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Bu Yunchaokete dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 46.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0–1 Bu Yunchaokete (1).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.5 | 12.4-11.9 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 26.1% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.6
Over 22.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 39% · 1.83
H2H · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0 – 1 Bu Yunchaokete (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0–1 Bu Yunchaokete
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/25 ATP Shanghai | 1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Yi Zhou ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 27/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 14/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Casper Ruud ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Bu Yunchaokete
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Roman Safiullin ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Michael Zheng ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Michael Zheng US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 02/09 | Rafael Jodar US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Federico Cina US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Borna Gojo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Rio Noguchi US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Bu Yunchaokete?
Our model gives 59% to Bu Yunchaokete, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.