Tennis · ATP Beijing · 28/09, 06:30
Prediction: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva
Team pages: Alex Molcan · Vit Kopriva
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Molcan
Vit Kopriva
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Molcan
6-4 (W-L)
Vit Kopriva
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Molcan
2–0
Vit Kopriva
(2 last)
- 30 Sept2-1 13-10W
- 14 Jul2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Molcan 1502 · Vit Kopriva 1455
| Alex Molcan | Vit Kopriva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Molcan (rating 1502 vs 1455).
- Head-to-head: Alex Molcan 2–0 Vit Kopriva (2).
Statistics
| Alex Molcan | Vit Kopriva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.6 | 9.1-12.4 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 67% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Alex Molcan 2 – 0 Vit Kopriva (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Molcan 2–0 Vit Kopriva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/21 Challenger Sibiu | 2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/07/17 ITF Czech Republic F5 | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Molcan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 23/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Valentin Royer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Vit Kopriva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Jia Hu ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Ignacio Buse ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Dino Prizmic ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva?
Our model gives 55% to Alex Molcan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.