Tennis · ATP Beijing · 28/09, 10:00
Prediction: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino
Team pages: Miomir Kecmanovic · Adrian Mannarino
Prediction summary
Winner
Miomir Kecmanovic
Adrian Mannarino
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Miomir Kecmanovic
5-5 (W-L)
Adrian Mannarino
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Miomir Kecmanovic
0–3
Adrian Mannarino
(3 last)
- 27 Mar0-2 7-12L
- 10 Feb0-3 7-18L
- 21 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miomir Kecmanovic 1464 · Adrian Mannarino 1485
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Miomir Kecmanovic 0–3 Adrian Mannarino (3).
Statistics
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-14.1 | 10.9-13 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 31.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 52% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 48% · 1.83
H2H · Miomir Kecmanovic 0 – 3 Adrian Mannarino (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miomir Kecmanovic 0–3 Adrian Mannarino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/21 ATP Miami | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/02/21 Australian Open | 0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 21/10/20 ATP Cologne 2 | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miomir Kecmanovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Edas Butvilas Davis Cup |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Denis Shapovalov US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 26/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 03/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Adrian Mannarino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Juncheng Shang ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Dan Added Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexander Bublik US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-21 | W |
| 26/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino?
Our model gives 52% to Miomir Kecmanovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.