Tennis · ATP Beijing · 28/09, 05:00
Prediction: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac
Team pages: Yannick Hanfmann · Tomas Machac
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannick Hanfmann
Tomas Machac
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yannick Hanfmann
6-4 (W-L)
Tomas Machac
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yannick Hanfmann
1–1
Tomas Machac
(2 last)
- 09 Apr2-0 12-3W
- 19 Nov0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannick Hanfmann 1525 · Tomas Machac 1489
| Yannick Hanfmann | Tomas Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yannick Hanfmann dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 42.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Yannick Hanfmann | Tomas Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.3 | 11.1-13.9 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 50% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 50% · 1.80
H2H · Yannick Hanfmann 1 – 1 Tomas Machac (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yannick Hanfmann 1–1 Tomas Machac
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/23 ATP Houston | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/11/22 Challenger Helsinki | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Alejandro Tabilo US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 16/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Tomas Machac
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Alexander Zverev French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Zizou Bergs French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 07/05 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/04 | Cameron Norrie ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 22/04 | Francisco Comesana ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/04 | Andrey Rublev ATP Barcelona · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Sebastian Baez ATP Barcelona · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac?
Our model gives 60% to Yannick Hanfmann, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.