Tennis · ATP Beijing · 28/09, 09:30
Prediction: Jie Cui vs Daniel Altmaier
Team pages: Jie Cui · Daniel Altmaier
Prediction summary
Winner
Jie Cui
Daniel Altmaier
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jie Cui
6-4 (W-L)
Daniel Altmaier
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jie Cui 1476 · Daniel Altmaier 1472
| Jie Cui | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jie Cui | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.4 | 11.3-13.2 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.8
Over 21.5: 62% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 38% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Daniel Altmaier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Dino Prizmic Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Zachary Svajda US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 13-24 | L |
| 26/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Francisco Comesana ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 22/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jie Cui vs Daniel Altmaier?
Our model gives 62% to Daniel Altmaier, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.