Tennis · ATP Beijing · 28/09, 09:30
Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Valentin Royer
Team pages: Botic Van De Zandschulp · Valentin Royer
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Valentin Royer
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
4-6 (W-L)
Valentin Royer
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1555 · Valentin Royer 1543
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 10.6 aces and 47.6% break avg.
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.2-13.7 | 13.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 10.6 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.5
Over 22.5: 67% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 33% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-29 | W |
| 05/09 | Zizou Bergs US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
| 04/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jan Choinski US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Valentin Royer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Adam Walton ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 22/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Valentin Royer?
Our model gives 59% to Botic Van De Zandschulp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.