Tennis · WTA Beijing · 28/09, 11:00
Prediction: Anastasia Kulikova vs Anna-Lena Friedsam
Team pages: Anastasia Kulikova · Anna-Lena Friedsam
Prediction summary
Winner
Anastasia Kulikova
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Kulikova
5-5 (W-L)
Anna-Lena Friedsam
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anastasia Kulikova
0–1
Anna-Lena Friedsam
(1 last)
- 20 Sept0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Kulikova 1537 · Anna-Lena Friedsam 1463
| Anastasia Kulikova | Anna-Lena Friedsam | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Kulikova (rating 1537 vs 1463).
- Anastasia Kulikova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Anastasia Kulikova 0–1 Anna-Lena Friedsam (1).
- Note: Anastasia Kulikova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Anna-Lena Friedsam makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Anastasia Kulikova | Anna-Lena Friedsam | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.6 | 9.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 62% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Anastasia Kulikova 0 – 1 Anna-Lena Friedsam (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anastasia Kulikova 0–1 Anna-Lena Friedsam
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/26 WTA Singapore | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Kulikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Anna-Lena Friedsam WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Jiaqi Wang WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Haruka Kaji W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Joanna Garland W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 01/09 | Xinxin Yao W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Ayana Akli W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Savannah Broadus W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Olivia Lincer W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Thea Frodin W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Anna-Lena Friedsam
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 20/09 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Desirae Krawczyk WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Hannah Klugman W50 Leiria |
0-1 | 9-11 | L |
| 30/07 | Dominika Salkova W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Lisa Zaar W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Julie Pastikova W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Diletta Cherubini W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Clervie Ngounoue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Kulikova vs Anna-Lena Friedsam?
Our model gives 51% to Anna-Lena Friedsam, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.